Beijing wins the “Entropy War” in the South Pacific: Experts


As democratic leaders continue to work to strengthen their alliance with Pacific leaders, one expert is already quite a bit in Beijing’s promotion of corruption in the region and eroding democratic institutions. He warned the leader that he was on the way.

Cleo Pascal, a senior researcher at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in the Indo-Pacific, said foreign authorities need to abandon worn-out bureaucratic procedures to counter Beijing’s “civil war.”

In 1999, two PLA Air Force colonels published a book called “Unlimited War.” This book involves attacking the enemy by all means except open conflicts. Geopolitical and defense experts classify this as a hybrid war or a gray zone war.

For instigators like the Chinese Communist Party, an unlimited war has struck the cyber, economic, political, legal, and media territories to destabilize the government’s enemies, in this case the United States, democracies, and now the Pacific Ocean. Areas I’ve seen abuse.

“These weapons are used to undermine the target nation from the inside, fragment and confuse the target nation, and make it intolerable to the effects of China,” Pascal told The Epoch Times.

Epoch Times Photo
A burnout truck sits in the Chinatown district of Honiara, Solomon Islands, on November 26, 2021. (Charley Piringi / AFP via Getty Images)

“The process of creating instability and fragmentation can be described as creating a state of” entropy “of political, social and economic entropy, where things begin to collapse. And in that turmoil, China can create a new order around itself and its agents. “

Break down democracy

Pascal states that the situation in the Solomon Islands is an important example.

The issue of corruption has become more apparent since 2019, when Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasesogabale decided to switch diplomatic loyalty from Taiwan to Beijing.

According to one report, 39 of the 50 Pro-Beijing parliamentarians were paid by the National Development Fund, which operates in collaboration with the Chinese embassy.

Opposition leader Matthew Wale also lined up his own pockets, with the prime minister not providing basic services, over-concentrating power, using the country’s timber industry for the benefit of a few logging companies. I blamed him.

Epoch Times Photo
Prime Minister Manasesogabale of the Solomon Islands and Prime Minister Li Keqiang of China will visit honorary guards at a welcome ceremony held at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on October 9, 2019. (WangZhao / AFP via Getty Images)

At the end of last year, local anger exploded, protesting against Prime Minister Sogavare in the capital Honiara, killing three people and destroying the Chinatown district.

“You start to feel this distortion in society, which creates a huge amount of social anger. If you have a democratic background, I think it’s a bad thing,” Pascal said. .. “But if you accept this premise that the entropy war is the desired result from Beijing, you will really want to cause turmoil in society.”

“Then, the elements of authoritarian leadership become increasingly isolated from their own population and the international community and become more dependent on Beijing.”

Western leaders can exacerbate corruption

According to Heston Russell, a former Australian special forces operative who worked in the Pacific, Western leaders who are purely in leadership classes, rather than other stakeholders, exacerbate and enable this corruption. There is a risk.

“There is a gap between the political level and the local population. Most of the population is busy surviving and living their daily lives and is not actively involved in politics or what is happening,” he said earlier. I told the Epoch Times.

“This allows the political elite to exploit, be affected, corrupt, and directly affect the hands of large resources, large regions, and countries with large power bases such as China.”

US Indo-Pacific Coordinator Kurt Campbell and India’s High Commissioner sought to meet Solomon’s opponents during their recent visit.

Entropy throughout the South Pacific

There were also many fanfares about China’s foreign minister Wang Yi failing to convince eight Pacific countries to register for large-scale security and trade blocs, but Pascal made several ministerial visits. He said it was a success of the Chinese administration in terms of.

Wang Yi was able to persuade Pacific leaders to abandon the quarantine restrictions on his delegation and prohibit local media from asking questions at a press conference.

Epoch Times Photo
This photo was released by the Samoa Observer on May 28, 2022, where Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Prime Minister Fia Menaomi Mata Afa are attending the signing ceremony of the bilateral agreement in Apia. Is shown. (Vaitogi Asuisui Matafeo / Samoa Observer / AFP via Getty Images)

At the same time, little details have been disclosed, despite signing large-scale deals with leaders of the Solomon Islands, Kiribati, Samoa, Fiji, Tonga, Vanuatu, Papua New Guinea, and Timor Leicester.

“All of this has created a conflict between the leaders of these countries and their population and media. The Solomon Islands already send them a much deeper path,” Pascal said.

Vanuatu agencies are also beginning to feel nervous after opposition refuses to attend parliament in response to a constitutional amendment.

Prime Minister Bob Ruffman is forced to shelve an amendment proposing to extend the government’s term limit from four to five years, imposing a term limit on the presiding judge, and allowing double citizens to take office. Was done.

These changes could not only concentrate more power on the Lauman administration, but also pave the way for the Chinese people to take power.

West needs to be flexible

Pascal says democratic governments need to take a more flexible approach to meet the needs of Pacific nations while countering Beijing’s unlimited and entropic wars.

Epoch Times Photo
Former East Timor leader Shanana Gusmao (R) greets Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi (L) during a meeting in Dili on June 4, 2022. (ValentinoDariel Sousa / AFP via Getty Images)

“Australia and New Zealand bureaucracy says we have to hold half a dozen workshops, and … we need to check those boxes,” she said. “That’s what our bureaucracy says. You need to be flexible and adapt to their bureaucracy. Countries like the Marshall Islands — their entire Ministry of Foreign Affairs, including administrative staff, may be 15 people. May. “

Meanwhile, Russell also strengthened grassroots involvement and promoted less focus on the political class of society.

He said democracies can work with the United States to provide a comprehensive “strategic, financial and diplomatic” framework, and countries like Australia and New Zealand connect with humans through sports. He said he would provide “real boots in the field” to develop and build schools. , Support infrastructure and support disaster relief.

Daniel Y. Ten


Daniel Y. Teng is based in Sydney. He focuses on national politics, including federal politics, COVID-19 response, and relations between Australia and China. Do you have a hint? Contact him at [email protected].