Beijing is considering an invasion of Taiwan’s Platas Islands, but will not launch the attack until President Tsai Ing-wen ends his term in 2024, according to Taiwan’s Supreme Security officials.
“By attacking and occupying the Platas Islands and using the war to drive Taiwan into negotiations, this scenario will not occur during President Tsai Ing-wen’s tenure,” said Chen Ming-tong, Secretary of State for the Autonomous Island. Told a member of the Diet. November 4th.
According to some experts, the Taiwan-controlled Platas Islands, located about 190 miles southeast of Hong Kong, are particularly vulnerable to attacks because they are close to mainland China.
“Frankly, they have discussed it internally before,” he said. “Of course, we have some awareness,” Chen said.
Mr Chen, who was answering a question from a member of the Kuomintang, Taiwan’s main opposition, about the possibility of an attack on China during his tenure at Tsai, did not say how he knew of such deliberations.
Taiwan, which Beijing has long described as a secession zone, has seen significant increase in China’s military harassment over the past year. Earlier last month, Beijing alerted the island to nearly 150 fighters in four days in Taiwan’s defense zone, the largest show of force to date.
Chen commented the day after the Pentagon warned of China’s growth in nuclear capabilities. This is expected to increase five-fold over the next decade.
A recent report by Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology also found that Chinese troops are deploying artificial intelligence to simulate war games for Taiwan’s invasion.
General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, expressed the same opinion as Chen on Wednesday, saying that China is unlikely to occupy Taiwan by military force in the near future, or he “6, 12, maybe 24 months.”
“But at some point in the future, the Chinese said they were clearly and clearly building the ability to offer those options to national leadership if they chose to do so,” Millie said at the Aspen Security Forum. Said in. “But anything can happen,” he added.
Although the United States does not have formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan, it provides the island with sufficient military equipment for self-defense, as required by the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979. Washington also maintains a “strategic ambiguity” policy for the island, under which it is deliberately ambiguous as to whether Beijing will come to Taiwan’s aid in the event of an attack.
China’s increase in nuclear weapons could give the administration a substantial advantage in the event of a military conflict against Taiwan, experts told The Epoch Times.
“If Chinese and Americans were to fight a stalemate at traditional levels, anyone with nuclear control would be in the driver’s seat to win the war, or at least to retreat the other side. It’s possible, “said Ohanron, a senior researcher focused on defense at the Brookings Institution, a Michael Washington-based think tank, in a previous interview.
Taiwan’s defense minister recently warned that China would be able to fully invade Taiwan by 2025.
However, Millie said the United States “has the absolute ability” to protect Taipei “as needed.”
“There is no question about that,” he said.