China’s policy could reduce the births of millions of Uighurs in the new ji in the blame of the genocide from the West-report

[Beijing]China’s birth control policy could reduce the number of births of Uighurs and other ethnic minorities in the southern part of the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region by 2.6 million to 4.5 million within 20 years, German researchers said. Analyzed anew.

The report, which was shared exclusively with Reuters prior to publication, is a previously unreported study prepared by Chinese scholars and officials on China’s intentions behind contraceptive policy in the new ji in. Results are also included. Official data show that birth rates have already fallen by 48.7% between 2017 and 2017. 2019.

Adrian Zentz’s study was conducted amid growing calls among Western nations to investigate whether China’s actions in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region corresponded to a genocide, which the Chinese government said. Is strongly denied.

The study by Zenz is the first peer-reviewed analysis of the long-term population impact of Beijing’s years of crackdowns in the western region. Rights groups, researchers and some residents said the policy was to newly enforce birth restrictions on Uighurs and other predominantly Muslim minorities, the movement of workers to other areas, an estimated 1 million people. It states that it includes detention of Uighurs and other ethnic minorities in camp networks.

“This (survey and analysis) really shows the intent behind the Chinese government’s long-term plan for Uighurs,” Zentz told Reuters.

The Chinese government has not announced official goals to reduce the proportion of Uighurs and other ethnic minorities in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. However, based on official birth data, population estimates, and ethnic ratio analysis proposed by Chinese scholars and officials, Zenz, by Beijing policy, has reduced the dominant Han population in southern New ji to the current 8.4. It is estimated that it can be increased from% to about 25%.

“This goal can only be achieved by doing what they have been doing, which is dramatically curbing (Uighur) fertility,” Zentz said.

China previously attributed the current decline in the birth rate of ethnic minorities to development factors such as the full implementation of existing birth quotas in the region and increased per capita income and increased access to family planning services. I was saying.

“The so-called’genocide’in the new ji is totally nonsense,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry told Reuters. “This is a hidden motive of the US and Western anti-Chinese forces, and a sign of those suffering from sinophobia.”

Demonstrators against the Uighur massacre
Demonstrators holding placards during a protest against the Uighur massacre in London on April 22, 2021 (Peter Nicole / Reuters)

According to the ministry, official data showing the decline in the birth rate of the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region from 2017 to 2019 “does not reflect the actual situation”, and the birth rate of the Uighurs remains higher than the Han Chinese of the new birth. Added.

The new study includes population estimates based on pre-birth data conducted by new ji-based researchers for the government-run Chinese Academy of Sciences, official data on fertility rates, and the Chinese government’s new. It compares with what was described as a “population optimization” measure for the ji ethnic people. A minority introduced in 2017.

By 2040, the population of ethnic minorities in the southern part of the Uighur-controlled Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region will reach 8.6 million to 10.5 million by 2040, according to Chinese researchers. It is comparable to the current population of about 9.47 million, which is estimated to be 13.14 million using pre-implemented birth policy data.

Zenz, an independent researcher at the Communist Victims Memorial Foundation, a bipartisan non-profit organization based in Washington, DC, was critical of China’s policies on Uighur detention, mass labor migration, and childbirth. A decrease in the new ji previously accused by Beijing for his study.

“His lies are not worth anti-fu,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in response to Reuters’ question, accusing Mr. Zentz of “misleading” people in the data.

Zenz’s work was approved for publication in the quarterly journal Central Asian Survey after a peer review on June 3.

Reuters shared the survey and methodology with more than 12 experts in population analysis, birth control policy, and international human rights law, stating that the analysis and conclusions were correct.

Some experts warn that decades of demographic forecasts can be affected by unforeseen factors. The Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region government has not officially set official national quotas or population size targets for the southern Xinjiang population, and the quotas used in the analysis are suggested by Chinese officials and scholars. Based on the numbers given.

“The end of Uighur rule”

The move to prevent the birth of Uighurs and other minorities is in sharp contrast to China’s broader birth policy.

Beijing last week announced that couples could give birth to two to three children, the biggest policy shift since the one-child policy was abolished in 2016 in response to China’s rapid aging population. This announcement did not include any reference to any particular ethnic group.

Earlier measures restricted the country’s majority Han Chinese and ethnic minority groups, including Uighurs, to two in three rural children. However, Uighurs and other ethnic minorities have historically been partially excluded from these birth restrictions as part of preferential policies aimed at benefiting minority communities.

Some residents, researchers and rights groups have said that the newly enacted rules will not be fined like elsewhere in China, but will be detained for Islamic minorities who have exceeded their birth quota. It is said that it affects the imbalance.

According to the Communist Party record leaked in 2020, Zenz reported that a re-education camp in Xinjiang intern Uygur Autonomous Region’s Karalax county blamed birth violations for 149 of the 484 on the list. Listed. China called the list “fabricated.”

The Epoch Times
On June 4, 2019, in Xinjiang intern Autonomous Region of China, there is a facility that appears to be a re-education camp where most Uighurs are detained. (Greg Baker / AFP via Getty Images)

Since 2017, in the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region, the birth quota of minority ethnic groups has been strictly enforced through the separation of couples, sterilization, intrauterine device (IUD), abortion, etc.3 One Uighur and one health official told Reuters.

Two of the Uighurs said they had a direct family member who was detained because they had too many children. Reuters was unable to verify the detention on its own.

Officials based in Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region said on condition of anonymity because they feared retaliation from the local government. “All Uighurs must obey … it’s an urgent task.”

The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region government did not respond to requests for comment on whether birth restrictions are being enforced more strictly on Uighurs and other ethnic minorities. New ji officials have previously stated that all procedures are voluntary.

However, in the new count count Uighur Autonomous Region, where the Uighurs are the majority ethnic group, for example, according to official data compiled by Zenz, the birth rate fell by 50.1% in 2019.

According to a Zenz report, an analysis released by state scholars and officials between 2014 and 2020 shows that strict policy implementation is driven by national security concerns, reducing the Uighur population. It has been shown to be motivated by the desire to increase Han Chinese immigrants and increase loyalty to the Uighurs. Ruling Communist Party.

Child looking out from the door
A child looking out the doorway of a Uighur woman passing through a residential area in Turfan, Xinjiang, October 31, 2013. (Michael Martina / Reuters)

For example, 15 documents prepared by state-sponsored scholars and officials introduced in Zenz’s report mention the need to increase the proportion of Han Chinese and decrease the proportion of Uighurs, new ji officials officials officials. And comments from state-owned scholars. Uighurs as a threat to social stability.

“The problem with the southern part of the new ji is mainly an imbalanced population structure. The proportion of the Han Chinese population is too low,” said a researcher and deputy general secretary of the Communist Party Committee of the new ji production and construction corps, a government agency. Liu Li Yileileile said.Have administrative authority in the region at the July 2020 symposium published on the website of the new region university

The Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region “must end the rule of the Uighurs,” said Liao Jaouyu, Dean of the Talim University Frontier Institute for History and Geography, Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region at an academic event in 2015.

Liao has not responded to requests for comment. No comment has been received from Mr. Liu. The Foreign Ministry did not comment on their statements or policy intent.

What is your intention to destroy?

Zenz and other experts point to the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide Crime. The treaty lists childbirth prevention for ethnic groups as one act that may be considered genocide.

The US government and parliaments of countries including the United Kingdom and Canada have described China’s birth prevention and mass detention policies in the new ji as genocide.

However, some scholars and politicians have stated that there is insufficient evidence of China’s intention to destroy some or all ethnic groups to meet the thresholds of genocide’s decision.

No formal criminal accusation has been filed against Chinese or new ji on officials due to the lack of available evidence and insights on policies in the region. Prosecutors are also complex and require high evidence.

Moreover, China is the supreme international court for prosecuting genocide and other serious crimes, and is not a party to the International Criminal Court (ICC), which can only file proceedings against countries within its jurisdiction.

Kate Kadel

Posted on