About a year ago, scientists, politicians, and the general public were looking forward to a bright and sunny summer day. The warm climate slowed the spread of the coronavirus, hoping to save overwhelming hospitals and save thousands of people from serious illness.
Instead, the summer of 2020 resulted in the largest surge in new COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths seen by the United States since the outbreak of the pandemic. The fall and winter seasons were exacerbated by the growing malaise of the coronavirus and the continuous holiday gatherings.
But can we tell another story about this summer’s season, from June to September, now that vaccines have joined the fight?
Experts are uncertain, but they are approaching summer with low expectations, as the seasonal trends typical of other respiratory viruses such as influenza do not seem to apply to coronaviruses.
“You may remember more than a year ago when we were looking for summer to save us. [COVID-19] surge. Dr. Anthony Fauci, president’s medical adviser to President Joe Biden, said at the White House COVID-19 on Monday. briefing.. “There was a significant surge in the summer. I don’t think we should even consider relying on the weather to rescue us from what we are now.”
Dr. Rochelle Warrensky, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, shared similar concerns.
“I think we need to admit that this pandemic was hit harder in terms of both infectivity and mortality than influenza … so we’re ready to say we’re back in full reach. I haven’t, “said during the Walensky briefing. “So far, we haven’t seen a seasonal trend for this virus. It’s certainly a surge during the summer. Respiratory viruses, especially like the coronavirus, tend to be seasonal, but still I haven’t seen it before, so I think you need to be careful from spring to summer. “
The influenza season begins as early as October, but usually peaks in February, when conditions for the influenza virus epidemic are in place. In fact, “influenzaIs the Italian version of “”Influenza di Fred “ This means “the effects of a cold”.
Studies show that the flu virus survives longer in cold, dry air, making it more likely to infect others. People also spend more time indoors during the winter, making them more likely to inhale respiratory droplets discharged from sick people who share a closed space.
According to Harvard University, the number of winter days will also be shorter. This means that people are less exposed to the sun and are provided with vitamin D and melatonin. Reduces ability to fight viruses.. “
But last summer, it showed that the new coronavirus could follow its own drum beats.
The· Best coronavirus case trends NPR reports that pandemic rates at the time were recorded during peak summer months, with new daily cases in the United States averaging about 65,000 for about two weeks in a row, with summer heat delaying summer heat. Prove that it doesn’t play much of a role. expand.
Currently, even with the COVID-19 vaccine mix, there are about 64,000 new cases per day in the United States, up 7% from the previous 7 days, Walensky said at a briefing. Hospitalizations are also increasing, with an average of 4,970 new hospitalizations per day for 7 days, up 3% from the previous week.
The CDC and other experts speculate that a variant of the coronavirus, which is more contagious and appears to avoid some vaccine, is due to the recent surge in cases. This may be the reason for the pandemic intensifying this summer.
“We still need to be very vigilant about these varieties,” says Walensky.
There are currently 5 coronaviruses Variant of concern According to the CDC, it has spread in the United States. One was first discovered in the United Kingdom, the other from Brazil and South Africa, and two first in California.