Tropical Cyclone Fred continued its northwestern road to Florida on Thursday after being downgraded from a tropical cyclone by the National Hurricane Center on Wednesday.
As of 2:00 pm Update from National Hurricane CenterThe tropical cyclone Fred had a maximum wind speed of 35 mph and was located about 180 mph east of Camaguey, Cuba. Tropical Cyclone monitoring continued to be effective in parts of the Bahamas and areas of Cuba. The Florida Keys and parts of the South Florida Peninsula may be under storm surveillance later on Thursday. The storm previously passed through the Dominican Republic and the high mountains of Haiti.
The storm system was moving west-northwest at 14 mph. Despite the turmoil as a result of land interactions, storms are expected to rain 3-5 inches, with a total of up to 8 inches of rain isolated across the Dominican Republic and the Bahamas.
A storm will continue along the north coast of Cuba until Friday, and a slow strengthening of the system is expected before sometime on Saturday before landing in the Florida Keys. The storm is then predicted to slow forward slightly as it turns northeast, largely reflecting the trajectory of last month’s tropical cyclone Elsa. Fred is expected to run in warm Gulf waters parallel to the coast of West Florida and, in combination with low wind shear, re-enter at least mid-level tropical cyclones with a maximum wind speed of 60 mph. Forecast predicts Fred will land as a tropical cyclone along the Florida Panhandle early Monday.
Prepare for heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches throughout the Florida Peninsula, especially along its west coast, up to 8 inches locally. The risk of significant flash floods and rapid river rises, especially in lowlands such as Tampa Bay, is of particular concern until Monday.
As the storm moves inland, the storm will subside and heavy rains will fall in the Appalachian Mountains next week.
Tropical Cyclone Fred is not the only disturbance forecaster seen in the Atlantic Ocean.
Located in the central Atlantic Ocean, the Invest 95L has been tagged by the National Hurricane Center as having a 30% potential for development in 2 days and a 60% potential in 5 days. Following a similar path to Fred, environmental conditions will favor development and could cause another tropical cyclone by early next week.
The next name in the list is Grace.
Beyond that, some more waves could emerge from Africa and develop into tropical cyclones in the next 10 days. As we approach the climatic peaks of the hurricane season, the Atlantic Ocean is becoming more active as planned.