Washington — A 27-page report released prior to the President’s Supreme Intelligence testimony identifies China as the greatest threat to US global influence.
Annual Threat Assessment ReportSummarizes the best ratings of intelligence analysts from 18 different agencies within the intelligence community, “focusing on the most direct and serious threats to the United States next year.” Climate change to cyber attacks and technological competitiveness.
Senior intelligence officials, including Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines, said this week House And Senate Intelligence Committee. These hearings were temporarily suspended under President Trump after intelligence officials testified to facts that contradicted Trump’s official statement, angered him, and dismissed Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats. It was.
In contrast, President Biden told his senior intelligence authorities that he expects them to speak honestly, regardless of how their assessments affect his political goals.
According to a new assessment released Tuesday morning, Chinese leaders may “look for tactical opportunities to reduce tensions with Washington when such opportunities are in their interests.” Despite authorities’ predictions, Beijing will continue to push to “weaken” Washington’s global influence.
Senior Biden officials, including Secretary of State Tony Blinken and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, have already met with Chinese responders in Alaska, and climate envoy John Kerry is working to address climate change. I’m planning to travel to China, but Beijing Don’t hesitate to engage Public saber rattle when faced with US challenges.
In the short term, intelligence officials are not only hoping that China will continue to seek to establish global influence through “vaccine diplomacy,” but also tout its success in responding to the pandemic. Public news coverage It shows that Chinese vaccines are far less successful than US-made vaccines.
Intelligence officials also hope that Beijing will continue to increase tensions with India’s neighbor, the “imitation rival claimant” of the South China Sea, increase military activity around Taiwan, and cooperate with Russia in areas such as economics and defense. ing. According to the assessment, China will also “continue to the fastest expansion of nuclear weapons and diversification of platforms,” ignoring attempts at international arms control treaties.
In the areas of technology, space, and digital espionage and attacks, the intelligence community has seen Beijing go beyond the use of technology for surveillance and espionage, perhaps beyond the United States, and perhaps the most annoying, Beijing at the top I hope to continue to be a partner. At the very least, it could launch a cyberattack that could cause temporary disruption to critical infrastructure in the United States. “
Intelligence also states that Moscow, Tehran and Pyongyang will continue to provoke and intimidate Washington, each of which poses a unique and evolving threat.
Regarding Moscow, the community said Russian authorities would continue to attempt to “weaken US influence” through continued influence and cyber operations, but analysts said Moscow “directly with the U.S. military.” I don’t want a conflict. “
Among the threats Russia poses are ongoing “military modernization” efforts, information warfare, involvement in Syria and Ukraine, expansion and stockpiling of nuclear and other weapons, and “underwater cables and industrial control.” We may continue to target critical infrastructure through cyber operations, including. “System” in both the United States and its allies.
The report responds to Iran’s own assessment of U.S. willingness to respond to attacks and concessions that it believes it may negotiate in exchange for a return to the Obama-era Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, Iran An action plan or Iran’s nuclear agreement warning that the United States may take risks and increase tensions. “Iran remains committed to countering US pressure, but Tehran is also wary of being involved in a full-scale conflict,” the report said.
According to the report, Iran may not have undertaken major nuclear weapons development projects “currently”, but may continue to step up these activities, especially “if Tehran is not sanctioned.”
Foresight, the report predicts that Iranian authorities will consider options that include “up to 60 percent uranium enrichment.” Report release Announced on Tuesday A few days after Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, the country would begin enriching 60 percent of uranium, according to Iran’s deputy foreign minister.
Analysts also concluded that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has not changed his view that nuclear weapons are “the ultimate deterrent to foreign intervention.” Diplomatic outreach with Pyongyang.
Global terrorism has consistently been listed as the greatest threat to intelligence activity following the 9/11 attack and al-Qaeda’s global growth, but intelligence agencies are currently underway by groups such as Islamic State and al-Qaeda. Evaluates that it is diminishing its capabilities based on the United States and its allies.
Intelligence agencies have said that domestic violent extremists in the United States, and similar groups in Europe from white supremacists to neo-Nazis, have “declined and flowed over decades, but have increased since 2015. The threat to the United States is increasing. ” .. “
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