It is unlikely that the Scottish National Government will get permission to vote for the second independence

The Scottish government is “unlikely” to overcome opposition from the British government and succeed in the second referendum, a former civilian who negotiated the first referendum said.

In the first independence referendum in 2014, Scottish voters refused independence with 55-45% of the votes and remained part of the UK.

Scotland’s first minister, Nicola Sturgeon, claimed that her government had an “indisputable democratic mission” for another referendum, so a new for independence on June 14th. The campaign has started.

However, Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the British government would not grant the Article 30 order required to hold a second vote.

Sturgeon, a leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP), said her government would look for another way to vote, despite opposition from the British government.

Professor Ciaran Martin, director of the Cabinet Office’s Constitution from 2011 to 2014, said the Scottish government is unlikely to file a legal objection against the UK government, as there is no court to force the UK government to dissolve. rice field.

When he told The BBC’s The Nine on Wednesday, he said: It is not the end of the UK government’s options to prevent independence. “

Martin said the current stalemate between the British and Scottish governments is “totally different” from the debate over the independence referendum 10 years ago.

He states: “The fundamental difference between now and 10 years ago is that the UK government is not only willing to allow the referendum, but more importantly, to consider the collapse of the UK if the referendum wins the favor. That is.

“We are in a completely different situation now.”

There was speculation that the Scottish government would hold a second referendum without an order from Article 30.

Martin said that two things can happen in such a situation.

One scenario is that the Supreme Court blocks the referendum and makes independent voting illegal.

Another scenario is for the Scottish Government to vote and use “slightly weaker words” such as “consult” people to give mandate to the Scottish Government.

When this happens, Martin says: They may say they don’t care what the outcome of this fake referendum will be. We do not intend to promote independence. “

PA Media contributed to this report.

Alexander Chan


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