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Halifax — As Nova Scotia’s month-long campaign nears its end, Tuesday’s vote seems to be much tougher than originally expected.
Incumbent liberals seeking a rare third term were widely expected to regain power at the start, when many predicted a quick and sleepy summer campaign.
Also, the government’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic was thought to be the ace in the hole. That may be the case in the end, but it’s clear that something has happened in the last four weeks.
“What happened is that a good campaign has broke out and the liberals are a little sluggish,” said David Johnson, a political scientist at Cape Breton University, in a recent interview.
Johnson acknowledged that progressive conservatives and party leader Tim Houston had carried out a “good campaign,” and added that New Democrats also made strong efforts under Gary Burrill.
But the fact that liberal leader Ian Rankin’s campaign was out of balance in the first week of the campaign didn’t help either. Website OnlyFans.
Ingraham also claimed that the party had told her to cite her as a reason to leave her mental health problems, prompting more negative headlines in the second week of the campaign.
Rankin continued the course, preaching an optimistic but closer approach to the state’s finances, and the economy was a COVID 19 pandemic.
Rankin, 38, also did his best to portray Houston as a right-wing Conservative, Johnson said the party had successfully countered in the course of the campaign.
Houston has succeeded in placing the party to the left of the Rankin Liberal Party in terms of public spending, deficits and medical costs, he said.
In fact, the Tories are proposing a large spending platform aimed at improving the healthcare system. This is the issue that was the only focus of 51-year-old Houston.
Johnson said Houston soon noticed a comparison with hardline conservative prime ministers in other parts of the country, such as Doug Ford in Ontario and Jason Kenny in Alberta.
“In one of the debates, he said his public spending would be more like that of Justin Trudeau than anyone else,” Johnson said.
Burrill, 66, of NDP, also has a steady and traditionally progressive campaign, holding daily events to chat with someone about issues that affect their lives.
The party, which had only five seats in the dissolution of parliament, is trying to regain power in the metropolitan areas of Halifax and Sydney, Nova Scotia by emphasizing issues such as healthcare, affordable housing and rent management. Aimed at many of.
Margaret Brigley, CEO of Halifax-based polling firm Narrative Research, said it shows that momentum has changed after liberals took part in the race in a strong position.
Brigley said many factors could affect the outcome, including summer votes and the increase in parliamentary seats from 51 to 55. Another factor is the fact that 13 incumbents, including 11 veteran Liberal Party, chose not to ask, she said. Re-election, leaving their vehicle wide open.
She said the key to what is expected to be a low turnout election is the ability of the parties to gain support for polls.
“I think this is very difficult to predict because there are so many factors involved,” says Brigley. “Anyone who succeeds in getting support can really make a difference.”
The elections will bring back the so-called protected Acadia horseback riding in Richmond, Argyle and Claire, as well as the horseback riding in Preston, primarily Africa and Nova Scotia.
Liberals have tended to work well in these areas in the past, Johnson said, but may need to take all four on Tuesday.
“Perhaps an early sign of a problem for them is whether they are in a tight race or have lost some of their riding,” he said.
At the time of dissolution, the Liberal Party held 24 of the 51 seats, followed by the Progressive Conservative Party with 17 seats. The New Democratic Party had five seats, three independents and two vacant seats.
Keith Dusset
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