Jason Kenny may have a problem, but don’t count him


If polls should be believed, Alberta Prime Minister Jason Kenny has some problems. Recent polls, In terms of its value, Rachel Notley’s opponents of NDP should be slightly ahead of the United Conservative Party (UCP), to the extent that they form a majority if the vote is now held.

Kenny’s popularity was due to, or perhaps because of, the fact that Alberta had some of the least restrictive confinement rules adopted by the state government to protect the failed health care system. COVID-19 was eroded during the crisis.

Canadian voters love the peace of mind that they are in charge of blockade enthusiasts. That’s where Kenny started. He panicked in March 2020. Already in dispute with doctors at the time, he succumbed to taking over medical bureaucrats and set aside the existing state’s emergency pandemic program.

When he approached a new direction, he Apologized for the mistake his government made Distinguishing between essential and non-essential retail (a mistake that severely damaged his foundation) only quickly returned to its harmful dichotomy after a few weeks. And, just as Albertan hoped to get out of the “second wave” of captivity, Kenny put the state back to higher limits for fear of viral mutations.

Kenny is slow or insensitive to his opponent, and some say both. They often come from liberal professions, scholars, teachers, or union civil servants who are busy staying at home, receiving full payments, and advocating stricter blockades on social media. The depth of lockdown does not turn this crew into a Kenny voter.

Most of his former loyal supporters feel abandoned or betrayed. They are small and medium-sized entrepreneurs, farmers and ranchers, shopkeepers, blue-collar and service industry workers. Health bureaucrats closed shops and businesses, barricaded churches, forced bankruptcy and unemployment, and evaporated savings in states that were already in recession before the virus arrived.

Kenny fights for these supporters against harmful federal policies that are undermining the state’s economic engine, but that medicalized local orders undermine their ability to support families. Made possible. They are an important part of the Union Kenny gathered from the state’s broken conservatives. They are currently leaving his party in search of a new political ship, and it can be difficult to get them back.

Last week, a quarter of UCP’s Caucus fired across Kenny’s bow, complaining about continued health restrictions. This threat from the inside reveals a rift between local and urban party members that may endanger his coalition. On the left and right, from the inside and outside, Kenny is threatened.

Therefore, enthusiastic experts have announced a crisis of governance, and while some of Kenny’s opponents are ringing the victorious trumpet, glory may be premature. Kenny’s popular sand may be changing, but there are three things to keep in mind.

First, assuming that tomorrow is the same as today is a common mistake in human resources. The movement of sand can be reversed. With two years to the next Alberta election, Kenny may have many opportunities to change his destiny. (For example, he may unexpectedly summon the apparent humility of hero Ralph Klein, or apologize for the failure of multiple crises in COVID-19 and the opposite policy course.) COVID- Without the 19 distractions, he may get back on track. ..

Second, Kenny’s unpopularity is due to his own miscalculations, not his opponent’s abilities. It is not always wise to rely on the mistakes of the enemy to reach victory. For example, that strategy didn’t work for the 2015 Federal Conservative Party. Justin Trudeau did not want to fall into his sword, as expected, and campaigned brilliantly. Kenny’s opponents need to work harder and expand their circle of persuasion. The NDP still lacks depth and talent, and there is a considerable lack of attractive policies for Albertin. For small challengers, it may not have been realized. Some lack imaginative leadership and lack resources, policy depth, and organizational capabilities.

Third, Kenny is one of the most talented politicians in the country, despite his recent mistakes, and has a relentless work ethic. The Trudeau liberal hat-trick in Ottawa may present him with new challenges, but may offer him a unique opportunity. Importantly, Jason Kenny is a compelling communicator who can make even hostile gatherings attractive, and he is a formidable political activist who rarely recedes from challenges.

Death for the next election in Alberta is far from the cast. Kenny is down, but don’t count him.

Marco Navarro-GĂ©nie is a Senior Fellow of the Frontier Center for Public Policy and Director of the Haultain Research Institute. He is a co-author of COVID-19: The Politics of a Pandemic Moral Panic (2020) in collaboration with Barry Cooper.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.