Many Red State Trump voters say they would be “better” if their state left the United States


Red State voters could say that if a state leaves the United States and “becomes an independent country,” it will personally “improve” (33%) rather than “worse” (29%). It’s getting higher. To vote for the new Yahoo News / YouGov.

Dramatically expressing the expansion of the cultural war between Democratic and Republican-controlled nations on core issues such as guns, abortion, and democracy itself is a marked refusal of national unity. And a larger percentage of Red State Trump voters say that when they leave the United States, they improve overall (35%) rather than worse across the state (30%).

Donald Trump stands in the midst of a crowd of supporters with a sign that says Save America.

Crowds cheer as former President Donald Trump walks on stage on July 9 during a campaign for a “Save America” ​​rally in Anchorage, Alaska, in support of Republican candidates. (Patrick T. Fallon / AFP via Getty Images)

A survey of 1,672 U.S. adults conducted from July 8 to 11 combined with a series of hard-line conservative decisions by the Supreme Court and continued predicament at Capitol Hill on the political gravity of the United States. Because the center was returned to the state. , Where powerful political parties are increasingly filling the federal void with their own widespread reforms.

They push their state further away — about voting rights About false alarmsPost-Roe v. Wade Regulations, Gun Safety Measures — A Political Analyst Federal republic of two countries: Blue Nation and Red Nation. “

“”[This] teeth Defining the characteristics of America in the 21st century“The Atlantic Ocean’s Ron Brownstein recently insisted. “The result by the 2020s could be a dramatic erosion of common national rights and an expanding bay (the” Great Divergence “) between American freedom in the Blue States and American freedom in the Red States. There is sex. “

Most Americans, regardless of where they live, are barely ready to disband the union (previous Yahoo News / YouGov polls show that the majority of Republicans [52%] Predicted that there would be a civil war in the United States [their] lifetime”).

Overall, only 17% of Americans actually want their state to “leave the United States and become an independent country.” This is a very consistent number across party boundaries. “The United States will eventually become two countries, one consisting of the Democratic-run” Blue States “and the other of the Republican-run” Red States. ” “

But digging a little deeper reveals that this level of consensus is partly an illusion.

For research purposes, Yahoo News defined the red states as states under consistent Republican control at the state level in recent years, and the blue states as states under consistent democratic control. Split states have been excluded.

Neither the red states nor the blue states are made up close to the monolithic Republican or Democratic population, despite the obvious and expected differences in party composition. In fact, all Yahoo News / YouGov polls conducted so far this year have identified more than one-third (34%) of Red State respondents as Democrats or independents who are Democratic. increase. Similarly, more than a quarter (26%) of the Blue States respondents identify Republicans or Republicans.

In other words, there are many inhabitants of the blue and red states that have more in common with their political compatriots elsewhere than the governor or the legislature.

To truly measure the gap between the Red States and the Blue States, set aside these almost helpless political minorities and instead focus on voters who are actually guiding state leaders to the left or right. Will help.

Ninety-two percent of Red State Trump voters trust the state government to “do their best” rather than the federal government. Almost the same number (86%) say the federal government is “not working well.” Two-thirds (67%) of the complete claim that they are not working “at all”.

In contrast, 8 out of 10 (79%) Red State Trump voters say state government. teeth How state leaders deal with guns (78%), democracy (73%), COVID-19 (71%), race (69%), economy (68%), crime (65%) The majority have approved it and it is working fine. ) And abortion (63%).

People in the rally, many wearing hats and jackets with the American flag printed on them, with children in the costume of the Goddess of Freedom, near the two American flags against a white sky background. Standing behind a low fence.

Supporters of former President Donald Trump will attend a rally in Commerce, Georgia on March 26 at Banks County Dragway (Megan Varner / Getty Images).

As a result, Red State Trump voters said, “It’s more important for the federal government to” enact its own law with minimal interference from the federal government “(56%) than to protect the constitution of the people. It just states that. Right in case of violation of state law “(33%).

And voters in the Red States Trump are broadly divided on the question of whether things will get better (37%) or worse (40%) if the whole country is actually divided into blue and red states. .. Other cohorts have not seen such a favorable discord.

For example, voters in the Blue States Joe Biden say they tend to be slightly (27%) more than all Americans (21%), and that the United States should be split in two. Only 14% want to leave their state, compared to 29% of Red State Trump voters. And Biden voters in the Blue States (21%) just think they’re better in such a scenario. A full 47% say they will get worse.

This may not come as a surprise given that Democrats generally trust Washington, DC, and that they dominate it more than Republicans, and now. But like Trump voters in the Red States, Biden voters in the Blue States prefer the state government to the federal government by a considerable margin.

In fact, Blue State’s Biden voters (75%) are actually Probability is high If you’re “doing something like your own state,” you’re better off in America as a whole than in Red State’s Trump voters (65%). They are also likely to say that the state government is working well (84%) and trust that the state government (80%) “does the best” rather than the federal government (20%). The possibilities are about the same.

Dissatisfied with the 60-vote threshold to defeat filibuster, most Biden voters (53%) around the world say the US Senate is “too strong.” More than three-quarters (76%) say the same thing about the 6-3 conservative Supreme Court. Almost half (48%) of Biden’s voters said they “considered moving to another country for politics.” And nearly six out of every ten voters in the blue states of Trump said they considered moving to another state for the same reason.

In short, America’s “Great Divergence” is not a one-sided phenomenon. It’s happening in both Red America and Blue America.

why? The new Yahoo News / YouGov poll suggests two reasons. The first is disillusionment with the United States as a whole, not particularly partisan.

Just two years ago, apparently several Americans (46%) told Yahoo News and YouGov that the country’s “best days are still coming.” At that time, only 25% believed that the best days in the United States were “behind us.”

Now these numbers are reversed, 37% say our best days are late and 31% say they’re still coming. Similarly, only 19% of Americans predicted two years ago that “their children” would be worse off than they were. Today, a complete 46% believe that the “next generation” will be worse than themselves. It’s an amazing change.

Overall, two-thirds (65%) of Americans say the federal government isn’t working well. Only 23% say they are against it.

People are standing in front of the White House fence with the American flag and a sign that says

Abortion activists march to the White House and condemn the US Supreme Court’s decision to end federal abortion protection in Washington, DC on July 9. (Yasin Ozturk / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

So it’s no wonder that the inhabitants of the blue and red states, who agree with the party in power there, are retreating to their respective geographical corners. It’s also no wonder they see each other more and more as attention stories. This is the second factor that seems to be supercharging the “Great Divergence”.

When asked to compare the Red States and the Blue States on many issues, Trump voters in the Red States had more gun deaths (68%) and discrimination (56%) in the Blue States. The economic growth of the Red States is large (75%) and education (55%).

In contrast, voters in the blue states of Biden have more gun deaths (62%) and discrimination (75%) in the red states, and more economic growth (65%) and education (77%). It states that it is a blue state.

Obviously, neither can be right. (According to Brownstein, voters in the Blue States of Biden Close to the mark; Other analysts May disagree). But that doesn’t stop one side from thinking about the worst of the other.


The Yahoo News survey was conducted by YouGov using a national representative sample of 1,672 US adults interviewed online from July 8-11, 2022. This sample shows the US Census Bureau, and 2020 presidential (or non-voting) and voter registration status. Respondents were selected by YouGov’s opt-in panel to represent all adults in the United States. The margin of error is about 2.6%.