New research suggests that Trump’s 2016 victory may have been a “historical necessity”


A new study that combines historical data on democracy and ideology in 21 western democracies shows that events such as the rise of right-wing populists like former President Donald Trump and Brexit are “in a sudden deviation from the precedent. Rather, it suggests that it is the result of 60 years of history.-Old international trends. ” economist WriteIn other words, the treatise, co-authored by Thomas Piketty, Amory Getin, and Clara Martinez Toledano, makes Trump’s 2016 presidential victory “look like a historic necessity.”

Major findings of the treatise — Like any other academic study There are critics — Decades ago, “income and education began to diverge as predictors of idealism.”For example, in 1955, “both of the wealthiest and most educated voters tended to favor conservative parties,” while “poor and poorly educated people primarily chose Labor or social democratic parties.” But over time, and with “amazing” consistency, the most highly educated voters moved While heading for the left-wing party, uneducated people “slided in the opposite direction.” The wealthiest voters maintained the support of conservative parties, giving them the right to a “coalition” of rich and uneducated people, paving the way for today’s politics.

The shift looks global, Michigan State University Matt Grossman OK However, the United States said, “In 1970, there was almost no left-right division in education, and there was a large division in income, but by 2010, there was almost no major division in education and income division. “.