Millions of Americans believe the elections have been stolen. Need to worry more about violence?
According to a recent survey, an estimated 50 million Republicans believe in false claims, but experts say many Republican supporters seem to be calm. Photo: Ty O’Neil / SOPA Images / Rex / Shutterstock Three months after the riots at the US Capitol, an estimated 50 million Republicans have their 2020 elections stolen from Donald Trump, according to a recent national survey. I still believe in the false claim that it was. However, it is not clear how many Americans are still willing to act violently in support of that belief. Early research on the ongoing risk of violence associated with Trump’s “big lie” has produced a number of discoveries. A political scientist at the University of Chicago said that the current size of the ongoing “rebel movement” in the United States reaches 4% of US adults, or about 10 million, based on a single national survey in March. I presumed that there was a possibility. Other experts on political violence have warned that findings on what Americans believe do not provide virtually any insight into how many of them act on those beliefs. Researchers interviewing some of Trump’s most loyal supporters over the past few months say many of them seem to be chilling – they still believe the elections were stolen, but they do a lot about it. I’m not particularly keen on it. Since January 6, a handful of attempts by far-right militant groups to mobilize national protests have been largely unsuccessful. “Many people talk, but few take a walk,” said Michael Jensen, who specializes in the radicalization of the National Consortium for the study of terrorism and its response to terrorism. Told to. “Only a small percentage of those who stick to radical views will take action on them.” It is estimated that more than 800 people from a crowd of more than 10,000 broke the building of the Capitol, the Capitol said. The deputy police chief said in February. Currently, nearly 400 people have been prosecuted. Trump supporters attack the US Capitol. Photo: Joel Marklund / Bildbyran / Zuma Press / Rex / Shutterstock Extremist experts call the January 6 attack an example of “mass extremism” and were charged with the case, according to early analysis. The vast majority of people have nothing to do with existing extremist groups. .. According to one analysis, more than half of the people charged with the riots seemed to plan to participate alone, without even coordinating with family and close friends. Almost half were business owners or had white-collar jobs, and there were few unemployed people. This is in contrast to the previous profile of violent right-wing extremists. As more Americans are vaccinated today, Trump’s relative silence and gradual return to more normal life is much higher than the days and weeks before January 6th. Created a different state. “Charismatic leaders are largely silent. He may find a way back to the public spotlight, but for now he’s virtually muted,” Jensen said. I did. “We were in a very unique situation of pandemics, blockades, and people being isolated and afraid. You had a vulnerable population,” he added. Today, “people are returning to their lives.” In the aftermath of the “calm” parliamentary attack, the majority of Americans condemned the riots and said they should be prosecuted. However, according to a survey of the past few months, many Republican voters are still loyal to Trump, accepting lies from him and other Republican politicians about the 2020 elections and subsequent riots. According to a Reuters / Ipsos March survey, more than half of Republicans upheld the false claim that the attack was “led by violent left-wing protesters trying to make Trump look bad,” and also. “Most of them were peaceful and law-abiding Americans.” Six out of ten Republicans in the survey believed that “the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump.” He also said that. That proportion of the sample will correspond to approximately 50 to 55 million Americans, Chris Jackson, senior vice president of public relations at Ipsos, told Guardian. In mid-March, researchers at the University of Chicago used a nationally representative sample of the percentage of Americans who still believed in Trump’s “big lie” and were willing to act violently as a result. I tried to find out. Thousands of American adults. Two-thirds of the respondents said they believed the election was legal, the researchers found. Another 27% said they believed the election was stolen from Trump, but supported only non-violent protests. Only 4% said they believed the election was stolen and also expressed their willingness to participate in violent protests. 4% of them, equivalent to about 10 million American adults, were political scientists at the Chicago Project on Security and Threats, specializing in global suicide attacks and focusing on US political violence last year. One Robert Pape said. Other experts say that survey respondents use violence to achieve political goals, according to Louisiana State University political scientist Nathan Carmo, who has been investigating Americans for political violence since 2017. He claims that the meaning of saying that he supports is not clear. The results of that investigation are of concern. As of February, 20% of Republicans and 13% of Democrats have stated that violence is at least “a little” justified to advance the party’s goals. However, only a small percentage of respondents who said they supported the deadly violence armed in previous investigations were at least “slightly justified,” Carmaux said, instead fisting, vandalism, and insults. Mentioned non-violent acts such as. “‘Violence’ does not mean mass death or murder, even among those who think that some degree of violence is okay,” Carmoe said. It is estimated that more than 800 out of a crowd of more than 10,000 broke through the Parliament building. Photo: Leah Millis / Reuters “There are many steps from attitudes to behavioral intentions to actions that prevent people from committing violence even if they have a violent view,” he added. Knowing how many people could complete all these steps was an “almost impossible question.” Christopher Parker, a political scientist studying the evolution of race and the U.S. right-wing movement, believes that 4% of U.S. adults have their elections stolen from Trump, preliminarily supporting violence. The findings said that American adults attended tea party events. A similar percentage of Americans were most skeptical about cracking down on the Capitol riots in a March survey by the Pew Research Center, saying that the prosecution of 4% was “not important at all.” I am. However, it is very likely that Trump supporters’ attitudes have changed over time, Parker warned, and the 4% figure from mid-March may have already shrunk. In Parker’s focus group with Trump supporters in Wisconsin and Georgia, Trump supporters appeared to be “angry but discouraged, helpless and anxious, and more involved in politics.” As focus groups have shown, Trump voters appear to be far less threatened by Biden than Obama, and what Biden’s post-pandemic recovery plans could do personally for them. I was interested. Early Hocksilt, a sociologist currently interviewing the area, found that in eastern Kentucky, there was “calmness” even among Trump’s ardent supporters. I think a lot of people feel abandoned.Trump did not forgive [the Capitol rioters].. He’s gone, early Hoxilt, Hoxilt, author of strangers on their own land: The wrath and mourning of American rights are Trump’s most ardent supporters, those who believe the elections were stolen from him. Said, “I’m under pressure.” On the one hand, he feels threatened by law enforcement crackdowns on the Capitol riots, and on the other hand, he feels abandoned for Trump’s actions. On January 6, some Trump supporters felt “proud, patriotic, advocated for democracy, and turned into a disgraceful criminalization during the day. They were overthrown. The law was looking for them, “she said.At the same time, “I think a lot of people feel abandoned. Trump didn’t forgive. [the Capitol rioters].. He went away and disappeared in silence. They feel:’Wait a minute: why doesn’t he speak out for us? A few Trump supporters interviewed by Hocksilt today have doubled their beliefs in fraudulent elections, expressing delusions about big government takeovers and saying they feel “not safe to be monitored.” It was. However, the majority “separated emotions from the problem” of “electoral fraud.” Experts warned that even a small number of people who are willing to use violence to support extreme beliefs are dangerous. Especially in the United States, recent political violence often takes the form of large-scale mass shootings in places such as churches and synagogues. And the store. Hochschild said he was concerned about further political violence in the long run rather than in the short run. “I feel that there are many people in extreme positions,” she said. “I don’t think it’s been mobilized at this point.” “The reality was that when we saw January 6, it wasn’t the majority of Americans who did it,” said the aftereffects of Lynch in the southern United States. Jacova Williams, an economist at RAND Corporation who studied, said. Still, while political violence is being driven by a relatively small number of people, unless the majority intervenes, she says it can have devastating and lasting effects on both people and democracy. Stated. Lynch took place in public and captivated the crowd, but “historically there wasn’t a mass like the Lynch people in the south,” Williams said. “It was a subset of people doing that.”