U.S. intelligence finds Russia planning offensive to Ukraine


Washington (AP) — President Joe Biden promised on Friday that Russia’s Vladimir Putin would make it “very, very difficult” to take military action in Ukraine. Early 2022.

According to Biden administration officials who discussed the findings on anonymous terms, the findings of the new intelligence agency plan for Russians to deploy an estimated 175,000 troops, almost half of which are already in Ukraine. It is estimated to be deployed at various points near the border.

It comes because Russia has accepted a request to Biden to ensure that Ukraine is not allowed to join the NATO alliance.

Officials added that the plan would require the movement of 100 battalion tactical groups along with armor, artillery and equipment.

Intelligence officials also said Russia’s propaganda efforts are intensifying through the use of proxies and media to defame Ukraine and NATO prior to potential aggression.

Biden was asked about the discovery of intelligence when he left for the president’s retreat at Camp David on Friday night, reiterating concerns about Russia’s provocation.

“We have long been aware of Russia’s actions and look forward to a long discussion with Putin,” Biden said.

If Putin actually experienced an invasion, the risk of such a gambit is immeasurable.

U.S. officials and former U.S. diplomats have laid the groundwork for a possible invasion, while Ukrainian troops are more armed and ready than in the past few years and are threatened by the West. Sanctions say it will cause serious damage to the Russian economy. It’s unclear if Putin intends to make a dangerous attack, they say.

Last Friday, Biden promised Putin to make military action “very, very difficult” in Ukraine, and a new initiative from his administration was intended to stop Russia’s invasion. He said he was.

“I believe that what I’m doing will be the most comprehensive and meaningful set of initiatives to make Mr Putin very difficult to go ahead and do what people are worried about. It’s about summarizing what you’re doing, “Biden said.

The Kremlin said on Friday that Putin would seek binding guarantees to prevent NATO’s expansion into Ukraine during a meeting with Biden. But Biden tried to avoid demand.

“I don’t accept anyone’s red line,” Biden said.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have also warned that Russia could invade next month. Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov warned on Friday that a “massive escalation” would be possible, with an estimated 94,300 Russian troops in the suburbs of Ukraine and in Crimea attached to Russia. According to an unclassified intelligence document obtained by the Associated Press on Friday, US intelligence officials estimate that nearly 70,000 troops are deployed near the border.

The intelligence findings were first reported by The Washington Post.

There are signs that the White House and the Kremlin are trying to arrange a conversation between Biden and Putin next week. Putin’s diplomatic adviser Yuri Ushakov told reporters on Friday that Putin Byden’s phone was being prepared within a few days, adding that the date would be announced after Moscow and Washington confirmed the details. The Russians say the dates have been agreed, but not someday.

Biden and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have also tentatively agreed to call next week, according to a person near the Ukrainian president who was not allowed to speak publicly and spoke on condition of anonymity.

White House spokesman Jen Psaki said government officials were “involved in the potential” of Biden Putin’s call. White House officials did not respond to requests for comment on the expected Zelensky call.

“It will certainly be an opportunity to discuss our serious concerns about militant rhetoric about the military buildup we see at the Ukrainian border,” Putin said. I mentioned Putin’s call.

Biden did not elaborate on what he was doing. But Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who met with Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Sweden on Thursday, said the United States was threatening new sanctions. He did not elaborate on the potential sanctions, but suggested that the effort was not effective.

“If a new” sanction from hell “comes, we will respond. We can’t forget to respond, “Lavrov said.

Saki said the administration would consider coordinating with its European allies if it proceeded with sanctions. She said that Russia annexed Crimea in 2014 and the bitter memories of the Black Sea Peninsula, which had been under Ukrainian control since 1954, come to mind as the White House considers its future direction. rice field.

“We know what President Putin has done in the past,” Pusaki said. “You can see that he has the ability to take action in a short period of time.”

A big difference was exhibited During the Blinken-Lavrov meeting, Russian officials blamed the West for “playing with fire” by denying Russia’s further remarks on expanding NATO to the former Soviet Union. Zelenskyy urged Ukraine to join the alliance. The alliance has fulfilled its membership promise but has not set a schedule.

“We have revealed to the Kremlin that the United States will take decisive action, including a series of influential economic measures that it has refrained from using in the past,” Blinken said this week.

He did not elaborate on what sanctions are being considered, but one could be to separate Russia from the SWIFT system for international payments. Parliament of the European Union approved a non-binding resolution in April to separate Russia from SWIFT (Society for International Banking Communications) if its troops enter Ukraine.

Such a move would greatly contribute to blocking Russian companies from the global financial system. Western allies reportedly considered such steps in 2014 and 2015 during the early escalation of Russian-led tensions over Ukraine.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev at the time said it was equivalent to a “declaration of war.”

However, some U.S. government officials may have putin also sought attention and concessions from Biden and other Western leaders, making Russia a central part of world affairs, as it was in the Soviet Union. Says they are using military escalation to return to.

“They are seriously jealous of the status of a superpower and … the equivalence to the United States that existed during the Cold War. That’s all,” said former US Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst.

Intrusions are possible, but more likely, “they cause a crisis, get concessions from us, and then reduce the crisis. Right? And I think that’s probably their purpose.” Herbst said on Friday.

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Moscow Associated Press writers Vladimir Isachenkov and Dasha Litobinova contributed to the press.

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