U.S. sanctions do not change Putin’s decision calculations, experts say


National security analysts say Russian President Vladimir Putin will remain unabashed in the sanctions package announced by US President Joe Biden on February 24.

Emma Ashford, Senior Fellow of the Atlantic Council, said Biden’s sanctions package was what most observers expected.

According to Ashford, energy sanctions would impose severe penalties on Russia, but it would also have serious harm to European allies and others.

“this [Biden’s decision] It was quite unavoidable because the level of interdependence between Russia and Europe made it impossible to impose sanctions without causing great economic turmoil, “Ashford said at an event hosted by Ashford on February 24. Defense priorities..

Germany has canceled the Nord Stream 2 pipeline to Russia in response to Vladimir Putin’s announcement of a “peacekeeping” mission on February 22nd. The withdrawn Republic of Donbus Of Donetsk and Luhansk (DPR and LPR). However, Europe still imports about 27 percent of its oil from Russia.

“You can’t find 186 to 200 billion cubic meters of gas from other sources. Where do you come from?” Explained Defense Priority Director Rajan Menon.

Analysts also explained the rationale behind the Biden administration’s decision to allow Russia to continue using it. SWIFT payment systemSupports international financial transactions.

Biden’s decision on SWIFT was quickly criticized by critics.

“Germans refused to use Swift sanctions by the United States. Biden postponed to them. America First vs. Consensus.” In a tweet, former Trump administration acting director of National Intelligence Richard Grenell said..

Ashford said the SWIFT decision was likely related to maintaining the flow of Russia’s energy exports.

“When Russia is separated from SWIFT, there is the question of how Europeans pay for gas from Russia,” she said. “We have very limited ability to change Russian calculations.”

But that does not mean that Putin’s explicit aggression plan remains unchallenge.

Former US Ambassador to Ukraine Stephen Paifer He said he expected Putin to face the Ukrainian rebellion.

“If they were really keen on the change of power, most of the Russian troops would have to stay in Kiev for some time to come,” he said. “There are many Ukrainians who have collected and learned how to use weapons in recent months, and it may change things when the Russians begin to experience the pain of occupation.”

Ashford and Menon have announced an agreement.

“It is not clear if this will improve Russia’s security situation,” Ashford said.

Menon said: [Putin] It went far beyond what he expected to go. “

Ken Silva

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Ken Silva covers the national security issues of The Epoch Times. His reporting career also includes cybersecurity, crime and offshore finance. This includes three years as a journalist in the British Virgin Islands and two years in the Cayman Islands. Contact him at [email protected]



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