UK police consider using data to predict future criminal activity


The Metropolitan Police Department wants to use the data to predict which men will commit violent crimes against women and girls, according to a senior Metropolitan Police official.

At the Exceptional Policing conference on October 12, Met Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley said he hopes to use behavioral data to predict future crimes and stop criminals before they strike.

The Metropolitan Police are working to build a city-wide data image of men known to prey on women and girls and commit heinous crimes across London, and this is more sophisticated than ever. It’s something.”

“Sadly, we know it’s tens of thousands of men,” Laurie said.

“Thousands of people have been repeatedly identified as suspects, sometimes with insufficient evidence to prosecute, but we’re launching a ranking of the most dangerous criminals currently escaping our streets. can you?” he said.


Lowry said police could “build a clearer picture of future risks, predictions, and deterrence for men who commit violent crimes against women and girls based on their previous behavior, which has been statistically tested.” He said he hopes the police will “go further” to see if. Risk factor. “

Rowley was the former head of the London Metropolitan Police’s Counter-Terrorism Command, but left Scotland Yard in 2018 to consult on specialized security projects and work on technology and data.

Epoch Times photo
Sir Mark Lawry taking the oath of Charles III at New Scotland Yard in central London on 12th September 2022.

He was appointed as the new head of the Metropolitan Police Department by former Home Secretary Priti Patel, replacing Mrs. Cressida Dick, who resigned in February.

The Met’s commissioner said a “full analysis could not be done today”.

However, he added, it can be said that “the success rate of this approach has proven to be impressive.”

“We increasingly understand the likelihood of committing some of society’s most serious crimes, and we can use that to convey ideas about prevention,” said Rowley.

“Will finding and protecting the most at-risk women and children as a top priority help catch the worst offenders? Will it help me focus the most on?” he added.

in January, preliminary investigation A two-year pilot program conducted by the Darham Constabulary in collaboration with the University of Cambridge found that AI can predict recidivism.

The Harm Assessment Risk Tool (Hart) was tested to see if it outperforms human custodial sergeants at predicting recidivism rates.

Both machine learning programs and human detention officers assessed whether detained offenders had a high, medium, or low risk of reoffending.

Hart’s algorithm outperforms the human algorithm, achieving 53.8% accuracy.

Durham Police Department claimed to have stopped using Hart in September 2020.

Welsh police have experimented with futuristic technology to identify wanted individuals almost instantly.

“There are no further details at this time,” a Japan Meteorological Agency spokesperson told the Epoch Times in an email.

Chris Summers contributed to this report.

Owen Evans


Owen Evans is a UK-based journalist with a particular interest in civil liberties and free speech, covering stories from a wide variety of countries.