US-Russia tensions increase the risk of nuclear war, experts say


According to Russian scholars, as tensions between the United States and Russia increase over standoffs along the Ukrainian border, so does the risk of a nuclear war. Clint Erich..

Most voters today aren’t afraid of the nuclear accident, says pollster Mark Meckler.

“It was a thing when I was growing up. We haven’t really talked about it since the collapse of the Soviet Union. National Action Treaty (COS) told The Epoch Times. “It’s not part of the public consciousness.”

However, Russia is experiencing an outburst of anger among leaders over the situation in Ukraine. Threatening to deploy strategic troops To Venezuela and Cuba. This poses a risk that the geopolitical landscape will return to something reminiscent of the Cold War era, said Erich, a visiting scholar at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations. MGIMO University..

“This is really a global conflict, not just the border between Russia and Ukraine … I feel that Russia has modernized its military, especially its strategic powers, and is now able to project power in a way. It wasn’t in the past, “Ehrlich told The Epoch Times.

“Frankly, I think we have entered a more dangerous era of West-Russia relations, because there is a misunderstanding, or at least a perception, between West and Russia about Russia’s relative strength in the international order. Because there is a difference. “

Erich argued that while world leaders still have time to ease tensions, many policy makers do not seem to properly assess the risk of a nuclear disaster.

“We are not at exactly the same time we were Cuban Missile Crisis Russia hadn’t been able to do that. Russia currently has no missiles in Cuba or Venezuela and no strategic forces like bombers, but that is the overall direction we are heading, “he said. rice field.

“And what’s really different and worrisome is that during the Cold War, Americans and the entire world were aware of the dangers of nuclear war, and they gave them real concern. It weighed heavily on them. It prevented reckless behavior, “he said. “Today, policy makers are like the Cavaliers about risk, and that’s the most disturbing thing for me, the lack of consideration for the dangers that exist in this fierce situation.”

Policy experts have different opinions on how to ease tensions.

Some see Russia’s military buildup near Ukraine as a response to NATO’s attempt to expand and will provide Western leaders with a guarantee that it will not happen.

Others believe that Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to reclaim control in Eastern Europe in recognition of America’s weaknesses. They will impose sanctions on Russia on their leaders and neglect them to take military action.

Ehrlich tends to take the first perspective, at least when it comes to policy prescribing.

“I push the US internally within NATO, 2008 Bucharest Declaration, It said Ukraine would be a member of NATO. I think rolling back that declaration is the key to opening a diplomatic breakthrough in a crisis. “

“Then, if the Russians are still aggressive, at least their motives will be open. At least because of the security threats by Ukraine and NATO, they are acting. Will lose. “

Fortunately, from Erich’s point of view, most voters seem to agree with him. Using a sample of 1,081 voters, 39.3% Republicans, 25.6% Democrats, and 25.1% independent voters Latest polls from Meckler and COS It turns out that if Russia invades, only 15.3% of US voters believe that US troops should be sent to Ukraine.

Polls also said that 84.8% of respondents believe that the United States should have limited involvement if Russia invades Ukraine. 31.1% believe that leaders should provide supplies and military weapons. 30.5% believe that the country should provide only diplomatic pressure. And 23.2 percent believe that the Pentagon should provide US military advisors.

Anti-war sentiment applies to both Republican and Democratic voters, Meckler said.

“It’s been an interesting shift for the last 10 to 15 years,” he said. “In my opinion, I’ve seen many conflicts with the purpose and means of victory. I think people are fed up with it.”

Ken Silva

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Kensilva covers the national security issues of The Epoch Times. His reporting career also includes cybersecurity, crime and offshore finance. This includes three years as a journalist in the British Virgin Islands and two years in the Cayman Islands. Contact him at [email protected]