War over Taiwan in the next 5 to 10 years: Former Australian Defense Minister

A former Australian defense minister said he believed that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) would push for control of the Indo-Pacific region and warned that a “movement war” with China was likely to occur in the next five to ten years. doing.

In a speech at the University of Adelaide on Monday, Christopher Pyne said, “Five years ago, I would have said that it was very unlikely. Now I have to say that it is more likely than it was then. Hmm. “

“It’s not a cyber war, but it’s a real war with attackers and defenders on different sides, with loss of life and destruction of military platforms,” ​​he added.

“This is not rhetoric. This may be something you and I will have to face in the next 5 to 10 years.”

Epoch Times Photo
Former Minister of the National Press Club in Canberra, Australia Christopher Pyne. (Sam Mooy / Getty Images)

Currently working as a defense consultant at Ernst & Young, Pine has served as Minister of Defense Industry and Defense under Prime Ministers Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison.

He, and the acquisition of Hong Kong by the CCP, the treatment for the minority of the Uighurs, said the evidence that had the ambition to dominate the leader 習近 Xiaoping India Pacific Ocean region of China.

However, Taiwan was the “most concerned” flash point, according to Pine, and allies called for continued involvement with China rather than containment.

In recent months, Chinese military aircraft have invaded Taiwan’s airspace almost every day, the largest when 20 Chinese military aircraft entered the air defense identification zone in late March.

U.S. Indo-Pacific Army Admiral Philip Davidson issued a disastrous warning in response to Beijing’s military buildup, stating that China could invade Taiwan “in the next six years”, but others. Analysts believe the period could be shorter.

Mr Pine said Xi had sent a “clear message” to the Biden administration and made a recent speech to the CCP’s Rubber Stamp Parliament, claiming that the PLA was “preparing” for complex situations.

Epoch Times Photo
Chinese leader Xi Jinping (L) is, after reviewing the naval fleet of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army in the South China Sea on April 12, 2018 (PLA), I gave a lecture. (Li Gang / Xinhua via AP)

“The United States still accounts for $ 1 for every $ 2 of global military spending, which is staggering statistics, but China’s published defense spending will be $ 210 billion by 2021,” he said. Said.

“Chinese troops are very capable in asymmetric warfare against the United States and its allies over the western Indo-Pacific and Southeast Asian islands,” Pine claimed.

Joseph Siracusa, an adjunct professor of political history of international diplomacy at Curtin University, previously told the Epoch Times that the Chinese Communist Party’s move in Taiwan was “caused by fear and weakness, not strength or expansionism.” ..

“The story of expansionism is a lie that the military-industrial complex talks to each other when they go to sell the latest weapons systems,” he said.

Meanwhile, Chinese political analyst and contributor to The Epoch Times, Yue Shan, revealed that the Chinese military is suffering from serious recruitment issues despite record defense spending. ..

“Under the one-child policy, many young people are spoiled and do not want to endure hardships. This phenomenon is known as.Little emperor syndrome,'” He wrote.

“The second reason is family duty. For example, a young man is groomed to take over the family business and does not want to join the military,” he added.

Yue also pointed out the lack of Chinese belief in the Chinese Communist Party’s cause and low morale as an additional factor contributing to the PLA’s recruitment struggle.