Who flashes first?Abbott may dominate


Washington-Texas-sized interstate gaze Democrats and Governor Greg Abbott Many observers believe that Democrats will be the first to blink over the right to vote.

More than 50 state legislators made a political bet when they flew to Washington, DC earlier this week. He hoped that Congress would pass federal voting law while returning to Austin and stalling the state legislature. Restricted voting measures.

It was created for a national drama that is publicly performed in front of the camera and in tweets. Abbott and the Republicans are calling on the Democrats to go home to vote for their colleagues as they have pierced the country’s capital.

According to experts, the Governor of Texas seems to have an advantage.

Surrounded by Democrats in the Texas Legislature, Chris Turner, Chairman of the Texas House of Representatives Democratic Caucus, will speak at a press conference outside the AFL-CIO headquarters in Washington on Thursday. Organized labor advocates called on the US Senate to abolish filibuster and allow some supporting legislation, including the People's Law and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act.

Surrounded by Democrats in the Texas Legislature, Chris Turner, Chairman of the Texas House of Representatives Democratic Caucus, will speak at a press conference outside the AFL-CIO headquarters in Washington on Thursday. Organized labor advocates called on the US Senate to abolish filibuster and allow some supporting legislation, including the People’s Law and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act.

To give an example Abbott can’t afford to retreatDon’t let him face the wrath of former President Donald Trump and his followers. Former Texas Attorney General Abbott, who has been attacking “illegal voting” for years, also has the ability to convene special legislative meetings as long as necessary to politically return Democrats to Republican states. I will.

“Political, this is a huge advantage for him,” said Republican political strategist Doug Hay.

Democrats can win standoffs when: U.S. Senate changes filibuster rules And it paves the way for the federal voting rights bill. However, Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia, a key Democrat who opposes the change in filibuster rules, did not announce a change of mind after meeting with some Texas lawmakers on Thursday.

Outside Congress, Texas Democrats were able to win by dragging standoffs, suspending Abbott’s government, and politically hurting him.

More: Democrats in Texas are putting pressure on Joe Manchin on voting rights.Given his deep support for filibuster, it’s a difficult order

More: Texas House Democratic Strike Successful Arrival at DC, Plans to Pass US Senate

Texas Democrats who attended a press conference, conducted interviews, and lobbyed lawmakers throughout Washington said they knew they were vulnerable to the fight against Abbott. They also said they would spotlight Republican efforts to curb voting. Especially by people of colorIs a kind of victory and deserves all political issues.

“If you don’t fight, you can be assured that you won’t win,” said Dallas-based Democrat Jasmine Crockett, who attended a press conference at AFL-CIO headquarters two blocks from the White House.

Moreover, she added, “I’m used to being vulnerable.”

Benefits of Abbott

The Democratic Party said it plans to postpone it until at least August 7, the expiration date of the special session that Abbott called to pass the election bill.

The Democratic decision to flee the state denied Texas Republicans’ ability to reach the quorum of lawmakers needed to do business.

However, Abbott can continue to call for special sessions to pressure him to return to the Democratic Party. The governor, who is doing his own media tour while the Democrats are lobbying in Washington, told Newsmax TV this week that he “will continue to call for special sessions until next year’s elections.”

“They will come back someday,” he added.

Texas Governor Greg Abbott can continue to call for special sessions to prolong the life of Democrats who break the quorum.

Texas Governor Greg Abbott can continue to call for special sessions to prolong the life of Democrats who break the quorum.

Analysts said Abbott couldn’t negotiate politically, even if it tended to negotiate with the Democratic Party. Mr. Trump urged Republican candidates to support his false allegations of fraudulent elections in 2020 and to drive changes in the voting system in future elections. Abbott may run the risk of losing Trump’s support If he changes his strategy, before the primary.

The second governor has won Trump’s support in a re-election bid, but he will continue to face Trump’s primary elections next year, and “election integrity” is decisive for many Texas Republican voters. It’s a problem.

Some Texas Republicans said Trump had little to do with the current drama as Abbott returned to his year as Attorney General and attacked fraudulent elections for a long time.

“He won’t blink,” said Abbott’s political adviser, Dave Kearney. “I don’t know how to blink”

Democrats try to prolong boycott and put pressure on Abbott

The Democratic Party said one of the reasons for the boycott was to publish Abbott’s election bill, saying it was just a campaign document reflecting Trump’s Republican rule.

“It’s all about appealing to Trump’s base and Trump himself,” said Grand Prairie state councilor Chris Turner, leader of the Texas House of Representatives Democratic Party.

Some analysts said that if the Democratic boycott lasted for several months, it could put political pressure on Abbott to cut down on certain trades.Due to the long standoffs, Abbott may appear to be ineffective in less than half a year. State power grid meltdown Led to Governor’s criticism..

Richard Trumka, President of the AFL-CIO, said:

Democratic and Labor strategist Eddie Vale said passing the federal voting bill is still a difficult battle, but pressure from the Texas Democrats could lead to a change in the filibuster process.

Even if Democrats have to withdraw to Texas, Mr. Vale said he “at least can draw more attention to people” against Republican voters’ attempts to suppress voters.

Texas Democratic 2003 strike did not work

History will also seem to be on the side of Abbott.

Democratic Party Boycotted Congress in 2003Travel to Oklahoma to prevent the passage of a bill that reorganizes parliamentary seats. But when the members said they had returned to Texas to make a living, they retreated.

Former state legislator Jim Dunnam, the leader of the caucuses when the Texas House of Representatives Democrats broke the quorum in 2003, said his members knew that the chances of success were minimal. .. As it is today, the Republicans controlled all the levers of the state government, all the cards.

“No one has said we’re going to kill that,” recalls Dunnam, a legal affair at Waco. “Everyone knew we weren’t going to stop passing it, but we’ve achieved more people’s perceptions than we’ve ever dreamed of.”

Democrats today have a better-selling message, he said, that is, they are trying to prevent Republicans from eroding the daily Texans voting rights, and perhaps even the national voting rights.

“These people have a foundation that is the basis of the reason (voting rights are important). I think they have advantages,” said Dunnam.

Abbott’s Special Power: Special Session

By law, the Texas Parliament is held for 140 days in odd-numbered years, but the Governor has the power to bring lawmakers back to Austin for a special session, an issue that these lawmakers can address during the 30-day overtime period. Only the governor decides. ..

There is no limit to the number of special sessions he can call, which is one of Abbott’s most important forces, to short-circuit the victory by House Democrats who left the Capitol during the closing hours of regular sessions. He called immediately. In May, break the quorum to kill the Republican election bill.

More: Harris meets Texas lawmakers leaving state to block Republican voting bill

More: See highlights of former President Trump and Governor Abbott’s visit to the Texas border wall

Abbott has set up a special session to start on July 8th, but wait until the day before Senators and House members get together to announce the work agenda, border security, abortion restrictions, transgender student athlete restrictions, Added items that are conservatively pleasing, such as restrictions. How teachers can discuss race and racial inequality.

But that was Abbott’s call Pass “election integrity” measures It ignited the passion of both sides and led to a midnight and overnight committee hearing in hours of public testimony last weekend.

Currently, the Democratic legislature is in Washington, and Abbott and Republicans remain in Austin, but how long can anyone guess?

Texas Republican consultant Matt Makowiack said the Democratic Party would increase pressure to work back in Texas.

“The only way Republicans lose this is if they don’t stay united,” he said.

This article was originally published in USA TODAY: Texas Democrats Go Out: Governor Greg Abbott has Benefits, Experts Say

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