With Taiwan in mind, Beijing has learned lessons from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: House Commission testimony


Beijing pays close attention to Russian military fares in Ukraine and how the world responds to the aggression. Some countries have set up a united front of sanctions and military aid, while others have not even protested.

In front of the Standing Committee for Foreign Affairs of the Commonwealth House, scholars focus on the sovereignty of the Taiwan Strait to discuss the situation in the Taiwan Strait in the face of the Chinese Communist Party’s intention to merge Russia’s invasion as a test case. I testified.

“A clear lesson from the Chinese on the military side is that the Russians actually invaded without proper planning and preparation, and the Chinese will make sure they do not make that mistake … they. “Self,” said Professor Steve Tsang. School of Oriental and African Studies in London.

Prime Minister Tsang also carefully considers Beijing’s economic sanctions imposed on Russia and assesses whether the West is ready to do the same against China.

“The important lesson they are drawing is that,’militarily, we can deal with it and we will simply prepare ourselves much better.'” When it comes to financial problems, it’s a much more serious problem. Whether or not Western unification is possible is still in its infancy, but if it is not, the lessons learned from it will be very different, “said Tsang, who believes China is still ten years away. Ready to invade Taiwan militarily.

“Conquering Taiwan is not the top priority of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leader Xi Jinping, but maintaining the power of Xi Jinping and the CCP,” Tsang said. “China needs to be great again.” Stated. Taking Taiwan is part of that. “

Professor Kelly Brown of King’s College London also said Russia’s performance on the battlefield has given the CCP a pause.

“When looking at a relatively experienced actor like Russia and gaining experience [as] The Soviet Union in Afghanistan has major problems, such as embarking on activities in Ukraine, and I think China’s leadership will have to pause and think about this for almost a decade. “

China fought a border war with Vietnam in 1979, and before that it supported communist allies during the Korean War (1950-1953).

“Amphibious landing is not easy. I think it was during World War II at the end. It’s a huge and huge kind of business,” Brown said.

Brown raised another issue that had nothing to do with the assessment of military power. It is the will of the Taiwanese people, who said, “We do not see them far away as having a completely Chinese identity.”

The CCP will face a “huge and huge problem” if “thinking about military options was forbidden in heaven”.

Andre Lalibert√© of the University of Ottawa is not appropriate to use the word “unification” used in the CCP, given that the Taiwanese government originated in the founding of the Republic of China in 1911 and then fled to Taiwan. He emphasized Taiwan’s sovereign character. After the acquisition of CCP in 1949.

“This is not as unified as the Chinese government claims, but because Taiwan was not part of the People’s Republic of China, it claims that pure and simple irredentists conquer the sovereign state,” he said. Said.

Canada has voiced Ukraine’s support for freedom and democracy and has provided Kieu with financial and military support.

Laliberte said Canada wants to do the same in Taiwan, despite the vague position of the geopolitical power struggle.

“For some people, this comparison may not seem valid because Taiwan does not enjoy the diplomatic approval of the majority of UN member states like Ukraine. So I would like to point out that Taiwan is a sovereign state according to the standards of the Montevideo Convention. “

Montevideo TournamentSigned by almost half of the countries of the Americas in 1993 (Canada was not involved), the “state as a person of international law” enters into a permanent population, defined territory, government, and relationships. With other states that state that you need to own the ability.

Beijing is not allowed to establish diplomatic relations with China and Taiwan at the same time, and the number of countries officially related to Taiwan is steadily declining.

Currently only 13 countries It has diplomatic relations with Taiwan, mainly Pacific island nations, Latin America and Caribbean countries. Taiwan, whose official name is the Republic of China, was expelled from the United Nations in 1971 and was given a seat in the People’s Republic of China.

Taiwan and other countries are pressing the World Health Organization and Beijing to grant WHO membership, but so far they have not been successful.

“Taiwan was one of the first governments to ring the alarm. [on what became the pandemic], And if we were listening, we could have contained the pandemic at the beginning of the process. We didn’t do that. The rest, as they say, is history, “Tsang said.

Noe Chartier

follow

Noé Charter is a Montreal-based Epoch Times reporter.